Ieas world energy outlook 2016 center for strategic and. Global final energy use and emissions with and without energy efficiency improvements, 200017 100 120 140 160 180 200 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 energy use 100 120 140 160 200 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 emissions 100 120 140 160 180 200 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 energy use gdp without energy efficiency actual. World energy outlook 2009 concentrazione di gas a effetto serra nellatmosfera a 450 parti per milione in termini di co 2 equivalente ppm co 2eq. World energy outlook 2015 special briefing use of inefficient coalfired power plants, methane emissions from oil and gas lowering production, fossilfuel subsidy reform or carbon pricing, are reflected in the indcs of just a handful of countries. Welcome to the 2017 new energy outlook neo, bloomberg new energy finances annual longterm analysis of the future of energy. Poor peoples energy outlook 2016 policy and practice. Global energy outlook 2015 resources for the future. Our new outlook describes multiple future pathways for global energy through to 2040. Coal will shrink to just 11% of global electricity generation by 2050, from 38% currently. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency iea, to present the ieas world energy outlook 2016. Getting the prices right zworld energy outlook 2000 zworld energy outlook 2001 insights. Renewables provided around 3% of the worlds energy needs.
Statelevel action and competitive costs help renewables. The oil drum iea world energy outlook 2010 now out. Eia published an early release version of the aeo2012 reference case in january 2012. Download the latest edition of the bp energy outlook, supporting resources or our country and regional insight factsheets. Newell, yifei qian, and daniel raimi nber working paper no. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Over the period to 2040, total energy use is projected to grow by almost 40 per cent, while the share of fossil fuels in the energy mix falls. What would it take for this to happen and what would it. According to the report, the currently the world uses 495 gw of installed solar power.
It is therefore disappointing that more insights from the report did not translate across to the flagship publication, particularly in relation to the role of hele in southeast asia. It finds that while global energy related emissions slow as a result of the climate pledges, they still increase. Fatih birol executive director, international energy agency iea moderated by. It highlights not only the individual components of the offshore picture, but also the synergies between them, and underscores the strengths of the ieas allof energy approach.
Among them, the new policies scenario describes where existing policies and announced. In 2012, a special report from the iea, golden rules for a golden age of gas which argued that unconventional gas needed to overcome important hurdles to continue to increase its market share of the worlds energy mix. The 2016 edition of the poor peoples energy outlook ppeo explores energy access planning from the perspectives of poor people. The negotiations there will be based on national pledges, formally known as intended nationally determined contributions, with the goal of setting the world on a sustainable path.
As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook, the international energy agencys flagship publication. The paper presents data and results from the world energy outlook weo 2014, published by the international energy agency iea. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices this years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market data, policy initiatives and cost trends. Affairs for the 2015 paris climate conference cop21 and. Scenarios and projections to 2040, including the new sustainable development scenario purchase. Ieas world energy outlook 2015 center for strategic and.
This special report, part of the world energy outlook series, assesses the effect of recent lowcarbon energy developments and the indcs proposed thus far. World energy outlook annex a tables for scenario projections. Energy and climate change world energy outlook special. In the midst of geopolitical uncertainty, and with energy security concerns on the rise, the. Overview regional trends oil and gas supply investment fossilfuel subsidies and renewable energy outlook source. In this scenario, energy conservation and lowcarbon technologies are promoted for maximum impacts, as each country is assumed to implement powerful policies to enhance energy security and address climate change issues. The world energy outlook weo is the gold standard of longterm energy analysis. Assesses the implications for a global energy system in which india exerts everlarger influence. For detailed discussion see the weo 2015 publications on iea web site. Launch of international energy agencys flagship publication, by executive director fatih birol, london, 10 november 2015.
Energy efficiency in power supplydemand technologies would account for 30% of the total reduction. The international energy agencys annual world energy outlook weo publication forecasts electricity demand, investment, generation capacity and trends in energy consumption until 2040. Scenario can reduce energy consumption by % in 2050. World energy outlook market report series world energy investment special reports.
Nov 18, 2016 the csis energy national security program is pleased to host dr. World energy outlook 2017 international energy agency. The projections for the future and quality in the past of the world energy outlook for solar pv and other renewable energy technologies matthieu metayer1,2, christian breyer1,3 and hansjosef fell3 1 lappeenranta university of technology, skinnarilankatu 34, 53850 lappeenranta, finland, christian. The engine of energy demand growth moves to south asia primary energy demand, 2035 mtoe china is the main driver of increasing energy demand in the current decade, but india takes over in the 2020s as the principal source of growth 4% 65% 10% 8% 8% 5% oecd nonoecd asia middle east africa latin america eurasia share of global growth 20122035 480.
India energy outlook world energy outlook special report. The international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november 1974. Asiaworld energy outlook 2015 i foreword he global energy environment has changed dramatically since only a little more than one year ago. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are. This is the task that the world energy outlook weo takes up in different scenarios and case studies, with the additional opportunity in 2016 to provide the first comprehensive examination of the. The paris agreement on climate change, which entered into force in november 2016, brings together countries representing almost all of the worlds greenhousegas. Assessing todays supplies to fuel tomorrows growth zworld energy outlook 2002 2nd edition issued zworld energy outlook 2003 insights. Energy revolution a sustainable world energy outlook 2015. Global energy demand rises by over one third in the period to 2035.
Asiaworld energy outlook 2015 5 the oil supplydemand balance is loose due to growing unconventional oil production in the united states, opecs strategy of giving priority to market shares and emerging economies slow down. The fuse iea changes tune in world energy outlook 2015. But the global wind energy outlook isnt about 2014 or 2015 its about what the industry will look like in 2020, 2030 and beyond there is much that we dont know about the future, and there will no doubt be unforeseen shifts and shocks in the global economy as well as political ups and downs. The annual energy outlook 2012 aeo2012, prepared by the u. In greece, default,unexpecte d in any industrial country, has become a real fear. The earlier report highlighted seven golden rules, which are reiterated in the world energy outlook 2015. Mar 08, 2017 global wind energy outlook 2016 scenarios main assumptions iea new policies scenario. The energy revolution scenario is a global energy scenario based on the assessment of energy demand and supply patterns and the renewable energy potentials available in ten world regions. The woo 2015 emphasizes that oil will remain central to the global energy mix over the next 25 years, helping to satisfy the worlds growing energy needs. Gdp a key driver of energy demand in all regions is assumed to grow worldwide by 3. Energy information administration eia, presents longterm annual projections of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2040. This years projections for different scenarios to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, cover all fuels, regions, and technologies.
Nuove misure politiche sono state introdotte, ma le prospettive al 2030 su domanda di energia, importazioni, consumo di carbone ed emissioni di gas ad effetto serra presentate in questo nuovo world energy outlook. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the ieas directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. Evaluates the energy security and environmental strains that accompany indias rise and how they can be addressed. Pdf on sep 30, 2015, sven teske and others published energy revolution a sustainable world energy outlook 2015 find, read and cite all the research you need on researchgate. Typically measured per year, it involves all energy harnessed from every energy source applied towards humanitys endeavors across every single industrial and technological sector, across every country. The presentation will include updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, as well.
It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business. World energy outlook 2017 now available at 50% off. World energy outlook series zworld energy outlook 1998 zworld energy outlook 1999 insights. The energy conservation inthe transport sector is quite large due introduction of hevs, evs, etc. Energy and climate change world energy outlook special report. Energy outlook downloads and archive energy economics bp. Iea world energy outlook sees radical shifts, despite conservatism the next 25 years will see a radical shift towards renewables and away from coal, a global energy centre of gravity pivoting towards india and the prospect of africa leapfrogging dirty energy. Nov 10, 2015 the world energy outlook 2015 weo 2015 will present updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, as well as. India is set for a period of rapid, sustained growth in energy demand. If governments stick with the policies in force as of mid2004, the world. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018. World energy outlook 2015 weo from the international energy agency iea has taken observers by surprise. The world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets.
In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a 1. Energy agencys world energy outlook 2015 with the ieo2016 projections is presented. In addition, the weo2015 covers indepth analysis on several topical issues. International energy agency releases world energy outlook. The deceleration in global energy demand and shift in the fuel mix had a marked impact on carbon emissions. Downloads are a mix of pdf, excel, csv and powerpoint documents. It presents a comprehensive outlook for oil demand, supply and the downstream for the medium 2015 2020 and longterm 20202040. The paris based international energy agency recently released its report on world energy outlook. Nov 10, 2015 john buffi is a retired police offer who lost his home to superstorm sandy. In general, the nonoecd countries continue to grow fastest. World energy outlook 2004 paints a sobering picture of how the global energy system is likely to evolve from now to 2030. World energy outlook 2016 sees renewables and natural gas.
Iea analysis for 2015 shows renewables surge, led by wind, and improvements in energy efficiency were key to keeping emissions flat for a second year in a row global energy. What would it take for this to happen and what would it mean for energy security and for the energy transition. This 2016 edition of the world energy outlook weo looks out across an energy landscape in flux. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. World energy outlook 0 fondazione sviluppo sostenibile. World energy outlook 2014 world energy outlook 20 note. For further information energy information administration. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. India energy outlook world energy outlook special report 2015.
The annual energy outlook 2015 aeo2015 was prepared by the u. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency to present the ieas world energy outlook 2015. Global energy outlook 2015 this paper assesses trends in the global energy sector through 2040 by harmonizing multiple projections issued by private, government, and intergovernmental organizations based on methods from global energy outlooks comparison. Sarah ladislaw director and senior fellow, energy and national security program, csis the csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr.
Focussed on the electricity system, neo combines the. Doubts have arisen about whether emerging countries would drive the acceleration of global economic growth in the near future. The world energy outlook 2015 weo 2015 will present updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the. The forecast, officially entitled new energy outlook 2015, is the product of detailed work by more than 60 specialist analysts around the world, on the cost of generation from different renewable energy and fossil fuel sources, on demand trends, and on the management of load in national power systems. In all the scenarios considered, world gdp more than doubles by 2040 driven by increasing prosperity in fastgrowing developing economies. The agency has projected that the installed solar power in the world will increase by 3,142 gw by 2040. World energy outlook special report 2015 and asia energy outlook 2015. Strategies for a world in transition washington, dc and. World energy outlook 2014 climate action european commission.
World energy outlook 2015 executive summary english version. Nov 11, 2015 world energy outlook 2015 weo from the international energy agency iea has taken observers by surprise. The 2018 edition provides updated analysis to show what the latest data, technology trends and policy announcements might mean for the energy sector to 2040. It uses case study evidence from three contrasting countries to unpick what it means to plan for energy access from the bottom up, basing those plans on the energy needs and priorities expressed by the energy poor. The csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr. This article uses the new policy scenario, where government policies as of mid 2015 have been formally adopted and any relevant policy proposals. It also outlines an integrated way to meet multiple. Q41,q42,q43,q47,q48 abstract this paper assesses trends in the global energy sector through 2040 by harmonizing multiple projections issued by private, government, and intergovernmental organizations based on. World energy consumption is the total energy produced and used by the entire human civilization. He now uses the demolisher system to help take care of his 91yearold father and children. Three policy scenarios are analysed throughout the weo report. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate. Its the first outlook published with faith birol at his new post as the executive director of the iea, as birol was, until recently, chief economist and director of global energy economics. Some of the nergy sector technology or policy optionse that are.
Looking at global energy developments up to 2040, the world energy outlook 2014 is a strong reminder that sustained political efforts are essential if we want to change energy trends for the better. This special report, part of the world energy outlook series, assesses the effect of recent. It does not include energy from food, and the extent to which direct biomass burning. World energy outlook offshore energy production, how they are today and how they might evolve in various scenarios in the future. World outlookenergy 2015 together could oil prices stay lower for longer. The annual energy outlook 2015 aeo2015, prepared by the u. Energy information administration eia, presents longterm projections of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2035, based on results from eias national energy modeling system nems.
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